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The 2022 Hormone Therapy Position of NAMS

NAMS is the North American Menopause Society, and new light shed on hormone therapies shows just how wrong medical science has been about both hormone supplementaiton, and how we treat menopausal women.


Statistics grab headlines – like the oft quoted but inaccurate statistic 1 in 8 women will get breast cancer at some point in her life. But statistics is a weird world, and numbers often lie. As the famous quote goes, “there are lies, damned lies, and statistics!”

But, where does this particular statistic come from? Patricia Kelly explained in Assess Your True Risk of Breast Cancer:

  • A thirty year old woman has a risk of developing breast cancer in the next decade of 1 in 227
  • A forty year old woman has a decade risk of 1 in 68 (1.5%)
  • A fifty year old woman has a decade risk of 1 in 42 (2.4%)
  • A sixty year old woman has a decade risk of 1 in 28 (3.6%)
  • A woman over seventy has the highest risk, 1 in 26 (4%)

We don’t see 1 in 8 there. That 1 in 8 “statistic” comes from adding the percentages together - which is some nonsense statistics. The risk in any decade of life is never more than 1 in 26, and that’s in the 70+ range. And let’s remember that now detection is SO MUCH BETTER, 90% of women diagnosed with early breast cancer will survive without a mastectomy or chemotherapy.

Our blog on the full details: https://www.parlor-games.com/blog/The-2022-NAMS-Update.html

View the study here: The 2022 hormone therapy position statement of The North American Menopause Society